Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.024889 0.026769 0.028730 0.030932 0.033336 0.035887 0.038800
2025-01-19 0.022086 0.024802 0.027786 0.031315 0.035391 0.039966 0.045512
2025-01-26 0.019975 0.023163 0.026802 0.031283 0.036683 0.043020 0.051073
2025-02-02 0.018625 0.022171 0.026346 0.031661 0.038300 0.046391 0.057101
2025-02-09 0.017232 0.020959 0.025461 0.031354 0.038943 0.048491 0.061584
2025-02-16 0.016151 0.020018 0.024799 0.031212 0.039698 0.050690 0.066255
2025-02-23 0.015183 0.019135 0.024122 0.030960 0.040232 0.052566 0.070553
2025-03-02 0.014432 0.018472 0.023665 0.030936 0.041023 0.054780 0.075419
2025-03-09 0.013613 0.017663 0.022955 0.030503 0.041191 0.056102 0.079055
2025-03-16 0.012825 0.016846 0.022182 0.029918 0.041084 0.056989 0.082064
2025-03-23 0.012219 0.016241 0.021657 0.029638 0.041370 0.058430 0.085968
2025-03-30 0.011669 0.015684 0.021164 0.029363 0.041631 0.059820 0.089859
2025-04-06 0.011034 0.014982 0.020439 0.028721 0.041315 0.060332 0.092416
2025-04-13 0.010732 0.014737 0.020351 0.029006 0.042409 0.063070 0.098783
2025-04-20 0.010355 0.014365 0.020058 0.028961 0.042980 0.065004 0.103942
2025-04-27 0.010115 0.014179 0.020024 0.029303 0.044166 0.067983 0.111099
2025-05-04 0.009722 0.013750 0.019607 0.029023 0.044332 0.069286 0.115398
2025-05-11 0.009395 0.013404 0.019298 0.028893 0.044726 0.070979 0.120510
2025-05-18 0.009063 0.013037 0.018940 0.028663 0.044934 0.072356 0.125129
2025-05-25 0.008803 0.012768 0.018719 0.028641 0.045483 0.074344 0.131036
2025-06-01 0.008469 0.012373 0.018285 0.028246 0.045368 0.075145 0.134709
2025-06-08 0.008122 0.011944 0.017781 0.027712 0.044981 0.075428 0.137374
2025-06-15 0.007857 0.011634 0.017454 0.027456 0.045064 0.076561 0.141814